Understanding the Current State of the UK Housing Market: What Buyers and Sellers Need to Know

Published On: 7 June 2024

The UK housing market is currently experiencing a period of relative stability. Recent data from Halifax, the UK’s biggest mortgage lender, shows that the average house price across the UK in May was approximately £288,688, with a slight month-on-month dip of £170. Annually, house prices have risen by 1.5%, indicating a steady market.

Regional Performance

The north-west of England and Northern Ireland have been standout performers, with annual price increases of 3.8% and 3.2%, respectively. In London, prices have remained relatively flat year-on-year, with the average home costing £536,821.

Economic Factors

Rising wages, which have grown by 6% year-on-year, have helped make properties more affordable, even as mortgage rates have edged up slightly. The Bank of England’s base rate is at a 14-year high of 5.25%. The European Central Bank’s recent rate cut has increased pressure on the Bank of England to follow suit, with possible rate cuts anticipated in the coming months.

Political Influence

The upcoming general election has created a “wait-and-see” atmosphere among buyers and sellers. Labour, currently leading in the polls, has made housing affordability a key part of its manifesto, pledging to build 1.5 million new homes and make the low-deposit mortgage guarantee scheme permanent. A Labour victory might trigger a “Starmer spurt” in the housing market.

Market Predictions

Experts predict that the current equilibrium is unlikely to last. There is pent-up demand from buyers ready to move once the election uncertainty dissipates and if interest rates fall. A strong summer rebound is possible if political stability returns and mortgage rates decrease.

What This Means for You

If you are considering buying or selling a home, it’s essential to stay informed. Rising wages and a stable economic outlook are positives for affordability. Keep an eye on interest rate decisions and the election outcome, as these will significantly influence market movements.

For sellers, understanding the pent-up demand can help you time your sale. For buyers, this period of stability might be an excellent time to secure a deal before a potential surge in demand later in the year.

Stay tuned to our blog for the latest updates and insights into the housing market. If you have any questions or need personalised advice, feel free to reach out to our team of experts. We are here to help you navigate these exciting times in the UK housing market.